Chat Got predicts best player of the year
Here’s the current picture for the 2025 Ballon d’Or (Best Player of the Year in men's soccer):
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Top Favorites to Win
1. Ousmane Dembélé (PSG) — Clear Odds-On Favorite
Bookmakers and media widely view Dembélé as the frontrunner, thanks to his instrumental role in PSG’s treble: Champions League, Ligue 1, and Coupe de France .
Odds are heavily stacked in his favor—currently around –400, which suggests about an 80% implied probability of winning .
He delivered a stellar season: 33 goals and 15 assists across 49 matches, league’s joint-top scorer, named Ligue 1 Player of the Year, and Champions League Player of the Season .
2. Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) — Rising Star and Strong Challenger
At just 17–18, Yamal enjoyed a breakout season, helping Barcelona to a domestic treble (La Liga, Copa del Rey, Supercopa de España) .
His odds stand at +300, giving him roughly a 33% chance—one of the few players capable of catching Dembélé .
Renowned for his extraordinary talent and maturity—media describe him as possibly “the best player in the world” despite his young age .
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Other Notable Contenders
Vitinha (PSG midfielder): Solid season, key in midfield, a “dark horse” candidate with odds around +1600 .
Mohamed Salah (Liverpool): Dominant in the Premier League (29 goals, 18 assists), yet hampered by earlier-than-hoped Champions League exit. Still a serious name in contention .
Others like Raphinha, Cole Palmer, Mbappé, Kvaratskhelia appear further down the odds lists .
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Key Insights & Quotes
Emmanuel Petit publicly threw his support behind Dembélé over Yamal and others, citing PSG’s transformation under Luis Enrique .
According to Sports Illustrated, it's a two-person race with Dembele leading and Yamal the closest challenger .
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Final Verdict
As of August 2025, Ousmane Dembélé stands as the primary favorite to win the 2025 Ballon d’Or, owing to a glittering season filled with goals, assists, and team success. Lamine Yamal is emerging as a formidable challenger, especially with his youth-defying impact—but the betting lines still distinctly favor Dembélé. Other contenders, while noteworthy, trail significantly in the race.
The winner will be officially announced at the ceremony on September 22, 2025, in Paris .
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